Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 292.888554 331.981720 375.644587 428.265639 490.278992 561.423289 649.773502
2025-02-09 234.890524 285.764959 347.855783 430.170400 537.879363 676.081105 870.228420
2025-02-16 198.451395 252.191672 321.519120 419.246241 556.328083 746.280312 1037.720296
2025-02-23 173.679274 228.340607 302.003465 411.096227 573.122919 812.686487 1209.525810
2025-03-02 160.365275 217.372666 297.298539 421.181543 615.340172 920.898356 1466.940695
2025-03-09 146.896678 204.205768 287.248242 421.018948 640.612506 1005.690308 1704.325053
2025-03-16 133.671761 189.765615 273.323682 412.400510 649.999570 1064.492296 1908.004057
2025-03-23 124.737141 180.700669 266.326086 413.489354 675.080012 1154.191216 2193.248146
2025-03-30 114.971400 169.371018 254.481932 404.769425 681.117881 1209.085883 2420.513461
2025-04-06 107.848680 161.515198 247.347597 403.045598 699.285978 1290.237223 2728.420135
2025-04-13 98.370754 149.093400 231.530721 384.062830 681.740843 1295.198733 2857.179387
2025-04-20 95.946691 147.972672 234.536874 399.455594 733.724863 1457.341177 3432.971526
2025-04-27 94.455233 148.414744 240.496302 421.603416 804.361345 1680.107402 4271.852972
2025-05-04 89.771052 143.049413 235.726203 422.497317 830.220262 1804.673169 4882.818249
2025-05-11 83.937301 135.230805 225.806888 411.897552 828.794303 1861.029353 5302.545011
2025-05-18 79.006267 128.655202 217.624949 403.915378 832.128801 1930.727555 5801.766603
2025-05-25 76.774572 126.741869 217.986314 413.784025 879.226780 2130.904008 6884.829509
2025-06-01 73.503234 122.693806 213.909233 413.624881 901.794722 2267.669773 7802.158565
2025-06-08 69.553337 117.130846 206.444821 405.192247 902.112543 2338.529554 8483.891937
2025-06-15 66.951248 113.919300 203.367627 406.257665 927.382853 2494.104945 9660.685890
2025-06-22 63.539380 108.963381 196.422936 397.724931 925.620137 2562.088268 10457.663820
2025-06-29 61.059430 105.646998 192.574531 396.038002 942.566870 2698.623445 11727.972565
2025-07-06 57.117442 99.287788 182.042610 377.459118 909.095618 2650.377286 11919.414046